Blog

July 2016 Results Update

July 2016 has been another strange month.  Up to the 21st, nothing went to form.  I could blame the changing weather conditions but sometimes things just don’t go as you expect.  Luckily we had a great end to the month which helped recover to an overall profit of 46 points (24 points for straight bets

Blog

Tipster Abuse – do they deserve it?

Tipster abuse – anyone who has paid for tips will know this story well: A tipster claims to make lots of money (no losing months, 100+ points profit a month).  Marketer claims the Tipster will make you lots of money.  All you need to do is pay a small amount each month.  You buy into the

Training

Diversification – have eggs in multiple baskets

What is diversification? You’ve probably heard ‘putting all your eggs in one basket’.  Diversification is the opposite – ‘have your eggs spread across multiple baskets’.  You drop one basket and there are still plenty of baskets remaining.  To think of it in the financial world, you would not put your entire share portfolio into one

Training

Psychology is the key to successful betting

Psychology is the key to successful betting.  I’ll emphasis this again; Psychology is key.  You can have the best strategy or system in the world, but if your mindset is not there you’ll soon find yourself turning winning months into losing months and small losses into bank breaking losses. There are numerous articles, and books

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Top 3 football outright bets for the 2016/17 season

It’s that time of the year where the betting markets are starting to form.   Here are my top 3 value football outright bets for the 2016/17 season bets on where I see some initial value: Back Leicester to get relegated (16/1) I’m not saying they will get relegated but there certainly is value at 16/1.  With Kante

Blog

Betting Bots – don’t lose your whole bank

This is an article I actually wrote back in 2010 when betting bots first came onto the scene.  After hearing lots of horror stories about people losing their entire betting bank, I thought it was worth posting again. Betting Bots (automated betting; software that places bets for you) reviews are posted all over the internet,

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Mug punters and Brexit voters: highly correlated?

Been a strange few days and I want to keep my views out of it as much as possible.  However, I thought it would be worth a minute to compare the similarities with mug punters: Make decisions based on emotion without fully understanding the decision that has been made (i.e. was it actually a good

Training

Finding winning bets: Form, historical analysis and the present

There are lots of views out there on how to come up with a successful betting strategy for finding winning bets.  Some common examples below: Historical statistical analysis: analysing race or game data to come up with winning bets (e.g. betting horses ridden by a certain jockey at a certain course between certain odds = a

Blog

Bookmakers vs Betfair: why the exchange is not always the best option

You may have heard people saying the following comments: “Why do people use bookmakers?  The Odds are so much better on betfair” “The bookmakers are all crooks.  As soon as you win some serious money they cancel your account.” These are two quote that are very close to my heart as most of my bookmaker

Blog

The Emotional Hedge – don’t back England

With the Euro’s starting, it is that time again for everyone to start thinking England actually has a chance of winning a major tournament. With a qualification campaign that went far too smoothly….compared to usual….hopes are high that England can actually cause an upset. Based on the England’s performances historically, winning the tournament does not